• RaphaelSchmitz@feddit.org
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    9 hours ago

    Based on other protests, probably?

    Apart from that, killing 12000 people is a huge effort even for a military using artillery and whatnot. If you have some military insight, just think of the logistics.

    Or compare to the massacres Nazis did in WW2. Extreme cases like the Warsaw Ghetto Uprising had something like 20000 people killed on site, so you see how believing that they pulled of more than half of that here, without all the supporting context the nazis had, is not a given.

    • stickly@lemmy.world
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      3 hours ago

      If the protests were widespread enough it’s not impossible to approach those kinds of numbers. That’s ~20 cities of 600 deaths spread over 2+ weeks. Other modern protest crackdowns have also been more about asserting power in full view of the world. This is a regime fully blocking media accountability while potentially fighting for its life.

      The Nazis were also doing that with mostly bolt action rifles and some tanks and inaccurate artillery, mainly benefitting from shooting 430,000 people in a concentrated ghetto. Drones and modern weapons are much more deadly and are being deployed against cities with populations in the millions.