• ulterno@programming.dev
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    4 hours ago

    Code quality will not improve.

    1. People’s expectations will go down.
    2. Normal programmers will be phased out of the industry.
    3. Educational systems will change, leading to no normal programmers for OSS.
    4. Once Gen AI companies get enough power, they will start increasing rates, citing costs.
    5. Vibe coding will become as expensive and time taking as current programming, but giving worse output.
    6. It will be tagged “inflation”.

    Source?
    The same thing is currently happening with all factory type industries, which were originally workshop based and customisation friendly.

    1. They got overthrown by mass-production models, due to lower costs.
    2. Now mass produced stuff has lower creation costs but has higher shipping costs, so no real benefit after forgoing quality for quantity.
    3. All stuff is more expensive to buy than it would have been with the workshop based industries being dominant.
      • This causes increase in living expenses for everyone including the people working in the few remaining workshop producers
    4. Now workshop stuff is again more expensive than mass-produced stuff and can only be considered when one has enough stability and saving ability.
      • And lack of workshops will mean that even those are hard to find.